Political Hippo Circle Jerk - America, farg YEAH!

[Rome]

Dallas sucks.

[Diomedes]

yeah, I forgot to mention that Dallas farging sucks..

thanks for reminding me Romey

farg Dallas

[PhillyGirl]

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/03/03/clinton-goes-after-obamas-chairmanship-in-new-ad/

[PhillyGirl]

I am NOW starting to really hate her.

http://www.yahoo.com/s/822889

[PhillyGirl]

Big day today....

any predictions?

[Phanatic]

Looking like she wins Ohio and Texas is too close to call. If she wins one and the other is at least close she's still a legit contender.

[PhillyGirl]

Looking like she wins Ohio and Texas is too close to call. If she wins one and the other is at least close she's still a legit contender.

She needs to win both...and convincingly... to be a legit contender.

[Cerevant]

Big day today....

any predictions?

My prediction: Obama will win by > 15% in Wisconsin, win by 5-10% in Texas and probably lose a close one in Ohio.  He will probably lose PA, but has a solid lead in NC.  Obama will not lose the pledged delegate race.

I'd like to slightly revise my Texas prediction: While Obama's margin of victory in votes will be small in Texas, the rules for assigning delegates will give him a >10% (13 delegate) margin of victory in delegates.

I think I'll stick to these, and further:
Obama wins RI by < 5%
Obama wins VT by > 20%

Democratic leadership will push Hillary to drop out.  I wouldn't be shocked by a VP offer, but I doubt she'll take it.  If she loses both OH and TX, she will drop out.

If she doesn't drop out, I expect NC to more than cover any delegate gains she gets in PA.

I think I hear the fat lady warming up.

[PoopyfaceMcGee]

I predict Hillary will find a way to convince herself and the country that staying in the race is the best thing, no matter what.

[Rome]

Pain

[Phanatic]

Looking like she wins Ohio and Texas is too close to call. If she wins one and the other is at least close she's still a legit contender.

She needs to win both...and convincingly... to be a legit contender.

If the contests were winner takes all that would be true but that isn't the case.

[Phanatic]

Just to clarify this is how close the contest currently is...

Obama 1392
Hillary 1279

[ice grillin you]

Looking like she wins Ohio and Texas is too close to call. If she wins one and the other is at least close she's still a legit contender.

She needs to win both...and convincingly... to be a legit contender.

if you believe that then why is today a 'big day'?

cause theres absolutely no chance shes wins both convincingly

[Cerevant]

Oh, and I forgot another prediction - there is no way the Michigan and Florida primary results count.  They may find a way to seat the delegates, but the elections won't count.

[PoopyfaceMcGee]

Agreed.  Allowing the delegates to attend the convention is one thing.  But telling the candidates the states were out and not to campaign there and then changing the rules after the fact (and rewarding the candidate that DIDN'T follow the rules) is simply not something Howard Dean would let happen.