Sixers-Pelicans Lottery Thread

[phattymatty]

that's the absolutely worst case scenario and they will still have a nucleus of mcw-noel-randle next year plus a fleshpop ton of cap space. things are looking good.

[Seabiscuit36]

Worst case scenario is the league tries to take their pick for tanking, but I just cant see that ever occurring.

[QB Eagles]

Worst case is that the Sixers manage to draw the one player out of the top 5 who will be a huge bust.

[SD]

Jrue broke his tibia and is out for the season.

[QB Eagles]

I realize they are only 3 or so games out and badly injured, but with 30% of the season remaining, I still can't picture the Pellies catching the five most dedicated tankers at the bottom of the standings (and they would need to be in the top two to guarantee keeping their pick). The Nuggets and Hawks are in freefall, too. It's more in the Philly spirit to be victimized by the sheer cruel luck of the lottery balls anyway.

So here's the probability of Sam being screwed via lottery ball, depending on where the Pelicans finish. Figure out what number you're comfortable with and root for New Orleans to finish there. Of course the more risky the number, the higher the Sixers pick if the Pellies don't jump into the top 5. They would have to finish 3 to 6 for the Sixers to nab the #6 pick. They have the 11 spot at the moment.

3: 96%
4: 82.8%
5: 55.3%
6: 21.5%
7: 15%
8: 10%
9: 6.1%
10: 4%
11: 2.9%
12: 2.5%
13: 2.2%
14: 1.8%

[ice grillin you]

I realize they are only 3 or so games out and badly injured, but with 30% of the season remaining, I still can't picture the Pellies catching the five most dedicated tankers at the bottom of the standings

lol

[MDS]

they really wanted this win and couldnt even beat the magic

demoralizing loss for this group...keep it up boys youre almost home

[QB Eagles]

The question is no longer will they finish in the bottom two, it's will they win another game.

[ice grillin you]

the pellies or the sixers?

[QB Eagles]

Sixers. They haven't won since January. Pellies have a test this week against three shtein teams, including the Bucks. If they drop all those I'm officially scared for the Pellies pick. Otherwise, like I said, I can't see them catching up to the likes of Boston or even the Knicks.

[ice grillin you]

the difference is that the pellies have a bigger reason to tank than any team in the lottery and will do anything and everything to get to that top 5....the knicks dont even have a 1st rounder and are trying to make the playoffs....also the knicks celtics and magic are in the east....only two games separate the knicks and them...i fully expect the knicks to pass them....in fact knicks jazz and kings will pass them.....lakers magic celtics are toss ups

[QB Eagles]

I agree the Knicks aren't trying to tank, they're just really, really bad. Utah I think is trying to tank and kind of failing at it, at least lately. I would be shocked to see the C's drop out of the 5 because they are obviously tanking for a top 5 pick and they are a competent enough franchise to seal the deal.

I do think the Bucks, Sixers, and Magic will end up in that top 5, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a couple other teams jump the Magic.

In any case Nola has a lot to overcome because there are like 25 games left and all these teams we are talking about, whether trying to tank or not, might win about 4 of those, primarily against each other. There's a lot of unwatchable basketball going on, and I'm happy to say the Sixers look the worst of all of them right now.

[ice grillin you]

still a long way to go but the bucks are up 15 on the jazz in the 3q

[BigEd76]

...and won by 26, so the Sixers are only 2.5 back now

[Eagles_Legendz]

Now I am becoming legit concerned about the pellies falling too far.  Never really thought it was a serious concern but they are really bad right now.  That pick may be boom or bust as in the sixers could legit grab the 6th pick or lose it.