Math odds question

[Sgt PSN]

so what the hell is the real answer.  ha. 

I would say 100 to 1 since the first pick is random.  You've just got to pull the same twice. 

If you want to pull a specific name 3 times in a row, then it's 1000 to 1. 

[Sgt PSN]

BTW, when you're done with this little experiment, can I have the hat?  Mauve really compliments my skin tone. 

[phattymatty]

i like the new theory 100-1.  it makes sense. 

[T_Section224]

you guys think too much

[T_Section224]

oh, and what ever MMH puts down is the answer i'm going with, it got me through high school math, why buck the trend now.

[Susquehanna Birder]

Ghey.

[PoopyfaceMcGee]

i like the new theory 100-1.  it makes sense. 

Well, it's simple:

The odds of drawing a specific predetermined name 3 times in a row are 1 in 1000.
The odds of drawing any name 3 times in a row are 1 in 100.

It's kind of like how the odds of getting pocket Aces are 1 in 221, but the odds of getting any pocket pair are 1 in 17.